Research, insights, and thought leadership from the GVS community.
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Despite a few setbacks on the inflation front, the US economy continues to march along a path of benign conditions for risk assets and investment styles that typically flourish in low-vol, risk-on environments. However, navigating these seemingly favorable conditions requires a nuanced understanding of both the macroeconomic landscape and potential tail risks.
In the alternative investment industry, few strategies capture the breadth and complexity of global markets quite like global macro investing. At its core, global macro is not merely a single investment approach but a comprehensive strategy that seeks to capitalize on broad economic trends and geopolitical developments across the globe. With a focus on understanding and predicting macroeconomic variables such as interest rates, fluctuations in currencies, commodities, credit and equities, along with geopolitical events, global macro managers aim to generate returns by strategically positioning their portfolios to profit from both anticipated and unforeseen shifts in the global landscape.
In this paper we explore whether it is time to move on from the “Crisis Alpha” label for trend-following strategies, and instead think of them in terms of “Unpredictability Alpha.”
Why would anyone want to hold positions through a CTA trend program, when they can have the same positions through investments with more specialized managers instead?
The wide range of quantitative investment strategies (“QIS”) fosters competition within volatility investing. We look at the performance of these sell-side products. Not surprisingly, they show great similarity to the buy-side, as know-how travels through the industry. We argue in favor of the QIS suite when targeting a specific risk factor exposure, but favor established funds when it comes to a strategic volatility allocation.
In–depth insight to navigate complex markets.